Monday, February 5, 2018

Dow plunges 1,100 + points, almost back to 24,000

Same as last friday, today the Dow Jones Industrial average fell again. But this time, it happened in a more precipitous manner. Last week it fell below 26,000, today it was below 25,000. I was watching the Ali Velshi hour on MSNBC when the Dow Jones actually fell by 1600 points or 6%(!). I couldn't believe it. & panic sentiment by investors is the first thing that came to mind since the pundits didn't have a clear explanation. 

The explanations that are being given, vary from the modest pickup in wages:
https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2018/02/05/583325123/stocks-extend-losses-with-dow-dropping-more-than-300-points-at-the-open
"Market participants were focused on the threat of higher inflation after Friday's jobs report showed a pickup in wages, which portends more interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve."

To the selloff in the bond market:
http://money.cnn.com/2018/02/05/investing/stock-market-today-dow-jones/index.html
"Investors' main concern is the selloff in the bond market. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite price, spiked to a four-year high of 2.85% on Friday. It's a dramatic swing from 2.4% at the start of 2018. Higher yields could make normally boring bonds look more attractive when compared with risky stocks."

"Traders are flocking to the safety of US Treasurys amid the selloff in stocks, with the 10-year yield down 5 basis points at 2.80%. Bond yields tend to go down as demand, and therefore prices, go up. The benchmark yield hit 2.85% after Friday’s jobs report, its highest since January 2014."

Even the political tension in Washington:
https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2018/feb/05/stock-markets-slide-global-sell-off-service-sector-bitcoin-business-live


"Christopher Vecchio of Daily FX suspects that the political tensions in Washington are contributing to the declines."

Speaking of political tension, tonight some pundit even mentioned (though in a joking manner) that some people may even be labeling it as the "Nunes drop". One thing is for sure, volatility and market volume surged today. & since the market was overextended this correction was imminent, especially after the euphoria from the "Trump bump". However, now the next phase (or if this will be a fundamental shift in the markets) will be difficult to determine. Here's what CNBC is reporting about the stock futures:
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/05/sell-off-continues-after-hours--sp-500-futures-now-down-6-percent-on-the-day.html

"Stocks looked set for another rocky opening and a volatile trading day Tuesday.
Stock futures slid into negative territory in Monday evening trade: Dow futures were down 628 points, and S&P 500 futures were lower by 57.25 points as of 11:10 p.m. ET.
The implied open for the Dow, based on futures, was a decline of 1,005.75."

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