Friday, February 23, 2018

The Parkland mass shooting & the "good guy with a gun" myth

Gun-loving people think having a gun means they'll be the hero (like in the movies) & they'll quickly kill the killer or "bad guy with a gun". But when you're facing a "sicko" with an AR-15 which has the capability to literally blow your head off, tear your arm off, or shred your inner organs, you know it's not that easy. 

The "Atlantic" has an article about what the doctors (who treated the Parkland victims) faced: 
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/02/what-i-saw-treating-the-victims-from-parkland-should-change-the-debate-on-guns/553937/

"I was looking at a CT scan of one of the victims of the shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School, who had been brought to the trauma center during my call shift. The organ looked like an overripe melon smashed by a sledgehammer, with extensive bleeding. How could a gunshot wound have caused this much damage?

The reaction in the emergency room was the same. One of the trauma surgeons opened a young victim in the operating room, and found only shreds of the organ that had been hit by a bullet from an AR-15, a semi-automatic rifle which delivers a devastatingly lethal, high-velocity bullet to the victim. There was nothing left to repair, and utterly, devastatingly, nothing that could be done to fix the problem. The injury was fatal."


Helping propagate the myth, Trump & the N.R.A. keep going on & on about a "good guy with a gun" who would've hypothetically stopped the Parkland murderer. They fail to mention there was indeed a "good guy with a gun" at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School & he, in fact, did not stop the killer. More than likely, he heard the devastatingly loud rounds from the AR-15, and he froze in fear:
http://www.sun-sentinel.com/local/broward/parkland/florida-school-shooting/fl-florida-shooting-sro-20180222-story.html

"The police officer assigned to Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School resigned Thursday, under investigation for failing to enter the building as a gunman opened fire and killed 17 people.
Sheriff Scott Israel said Deputy Scot Peterson should have “went in. Addressed the killer. Killed the killer.” Video footage showed Peterson did none of that, Israel said."

And this was a trained officer who was frozen with fear. So the question is, what can you expect from teachers who just want to educate young people & who didn't sign up to engage homicidal-suicidal psychopaths who are armed with high-powered rifles.

What the solution to mass shootings is, I have no idea, but I know it's not more guns. There's already more than 300 million weapons in the U.S. (personally, I have an uncle who has an arsenal at his house), so no, more guns is not going to solve the problem. 

Wednesday, February 21, 2018

My comments about the Russia debate between Cenk Uygur & Kyle Kulinski

I try to keep up with #TrumpRussia news but I'm not gonna lie, sometimes I fail to follow the sequence of events from the Mueller investigation's indictments. I don't feel that bad because even reporters (NYTimes, WaPo, etc.) don't seem to know what Mueller is up to either. It's all speculation at this moment in time.

With that in mind, I watched the debate between Cenk and Kyle. & it was informative:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p2kGYZ30GxM


First of all, I agree with both Cenk and Kyle on most of the different topics discussed, like the money laundering aspect. Actually, this morning on MSNBC, Stephanie Ruhle mentioned the fact Trump always says "there was no collusion" but the Donald never says "there was no money laundering". & I think that's a fair observation which is very interesting but will never be acknowledged by the Trump administration.

But there were some disagreements on my part, mostly with Kyle.
For example: I do agree with Kyle about MSNBC sometimes going overboard with the Russia coverage to the detriment of discussing economic issues: especially Rachel Maddow. But despite that, I always watch Maddow's show. Mainly, because I don't want to miss a key episode where the Mueller investigation's direction starts to make sense (to me at least). So when you question MSNBC's objective as far as #TrumpRussia. of course that is to get RATINGS. But in addition, Maddow seems genuinely interested in #TrumpRussia, so it's a win-win situation for the network.

Therefore, Maddow's #TrumpRussia obsession doesn't bother me too much since they (Maddow & her staff) might actually be on to something.

Secondly, Kyle describes the belief from some on the left about potential Trump treason as a "Democratic Benghazi" as if that would be something positive for Trump. But Republicans went on & on about Benghazi (despite the fact there was nothing there) & the GOP actually achieved their political objective: Hillary lost. 

Thirdly, Kyle mentions how the "deep state" expanded "our" border near Russia through NATO. However, he fails to mention that's what those Eastern European countries wanted in the first place. Romania, Estonia, etc. wanted to join the EU & NATO. Mainly, for the economic benefits. Comparing it with Russian troops in Mexico doesn't make sense. Because if the superpower roles were reversed, and the Soviet Union had won the cold war & as a result, the United States had ceased to exist in its previous form, Mexico might actually have been forced to make an alliance with the Soviet Union in order to survive (in the economic sense). Not to mention, as Cenk says, NATO has treaties which they have to enforce otherwise we will have potential international incidents if our "treaties don't mean anything".

Finally, Kyle says Trump getting impeached & us ending up with Pence would be a problem. But I don't think so. It would be fine with me. Trump is doing what any generic republican would do anyways, tax cuts for the rich & ending regulations. But we have the added problem which is that Trump is a troll who constantly insults minorities (like myself). 
Nevertheless, my disagreements are minor taking into account the length of the video & the different issues discussed. 
Therefore, I recommend you actually watch the video. Also: support & watch independent journalist videos on YouTube,

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

17 people killed in Parkland, Florida school shooting

The 18th school shooting of 2018 happened today: http://time.com/5159039/florida-school-shooting-parkland/
"Wednesday’s school shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Fla., was the 18th school shooting of 2018 — a year that’s not even two months old.


While many of these incidents — including the most recent before Wednesday’s shooting, one on Feb. 8 at New York City’s Metropolitan High School — did not result in any fatalities or injuries, schools nationwide have been rocked by gun violence in recent days. There have been school shootings in 13 states so far this year, according to Everytown for Gun Safety, a non-profit that advocates for gun control. Texas, California and Michigan have each seen at least two school shootings."

The shooting in Parkland was a massacre, 17 people killed. & it was a catastrophe for the community & for the country. Because the number of dead includes high school kids:
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/14/us/parkland-school-shooting.html

'PARKLAND, Fla. — Seventeen people were killed in a shooting on Wednesday afternoon at a high school about an hour northwest of Miami, law enforcement officials said. The dead included adults and students.
Broward County Sheriff Scott Israel said the suspect is in custody.
“This is catastrophic,” he said. “There really are no words.”'

It's been almost 19 years since the Columbine high school massacre. 19 years which is the age of the Parkland murderer. I was searching for videos of the Columbine shooting https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ol_qKNFgUNg & it's amazing how nothing has changed. Since Columbine, there have been no solutions from the government; mass shootings have only gotten worse. 15 people were murdered in Columbine, the number of people murdered today in Parkland is at least 17.

Trump, the (alleged) wifebeater, & the pornstar

To be honest, I hadn't been paying much attention to political news. But I do try to watch the cable news channels regularly, therefore I knew the latest political controversy was about a wifebeater. There's so many characters associated with the Trump administration, so many names, that is hard to keep up. Thus my brain hasn't bothered to remember this particular (alleged) perpetrator's name.  

Today, I finally bothered to learn the (alleged) wifebeater's name; Rob Porter. It appears we have a White House where a wifebeater (Mr. Porter) was able to work without security clearance for more than a year. As a result, the House Oversight Committee (which is led by a republican) is launching an investigation:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2018/02/14/house-oversight-is-investigating-the-white-houses-handling-of-rob-porter-gowdy-says/"The chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee said Wednesday morning that the committee is investigating the White House’s employment of senior aide Rob Porter, after allegations emerged that Porter abused his two ex-wives."
In addition, according to the FBI, the Trump White House lied about it:
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/13/us/politics/rob-porter-fbi-background-check.html
"WASHINGTON — The F.B.I. director, Christopher A. Wray, said on Tuesday that the bureau delivered final results in January of its background investigation into Rob Porter, the staff secretary who resigned in disgrace amid spousal abuse allegations. But the White House allowed Mr. Porter to continue serving in his post until the accusations surfaced publicly in press reports last week."

Also, the Stormy Daniels pornstar story is back in the news. 
A story which has never made much sense to me. I.e. what did Trump do with Stormy that would require a $130,000 pay out?

But anyways, today's news is Trump's lawyer Michael Cohen paid off the porn star (from his own pocket) out of the goodness of his heart (?): 
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-43055995
"The long-term personal lawyer of US President Donald Trump has admitted privately paying an adult film star $130,000 (£95,000) in 2016, in a statement to US media.
It follows US media reports that the porn actress known as Stormy Daniels was paid to sign an agreement stopping her discussing an alleged affair.
She first said she had a relationship with Mr Trump in a 2011 interview."

So yeah, on this Valentine's Day, a day in which we celebrate love and a sorta special holiday to show our appreciation & passion for women, Trump is forcing us to deal with men who beat their wives, & with men who pay off porn stars. 

Tuesday, February 13, 2018

Habra una solucion para los "Dreamers" antes de Marzo 5?

Para mi es bien frustrante, que siempre que la conversacion politica toca el tema de los "Dreamers", Trump comienza a hablar sobre los crimenes que cometen algunos (muy pocos) de los indocumentados. Estamos viviendo en un ambiente politico donde es aceptable estar constantemente atacando a la comunidad indocumentada como los peores criminales.

El juego de Trump es siempre hablar del MS-13 en referencia a los imigrantes Latinos ya sean ciudadanos, indocumentados o residentes legales. De esa manera, Trump trata de complacer a su base, y trata de renunciar a su obligacion de hacer algo por los "Dreamers".

Para Trump, ligar a todos los indocumentados con la mara salvatrucha es solo un juego politico: "anotar puntos" en contra de los democratas. Para la poblacion de "Dreamers" debe ser un recordatorio constante de la hostilidad y de la falta de accion por parte del gobierno Trump.

Ahora se habla de terminar con "chain migration". Que en realidad es la manera en que mi Papa logro que toda su familia (incluyendome a mi) fueran ciudadanos NorteAmericanos. Los republicanos (como David Perdue de Georgia) estan tratando de cerrar la puerta a las familias de los "Dreamers" para que nunca se puedan convertir en ciudadanos:

https://www.npr.org/2018/02/11/584523373/as-congress-debates-immigration-dreamers-are-in-limbo-along-with-their-families

"Any solution on DACA has got to include border security, including a wall. And an end of chain migration," said Republican Senator David Perdue of Georgia in remarks on the Senate floor last month.
Perdue and President Trump want the U.S. to allow in more immigrants with desirable skills. The current policy, which they call "chain migration," emphasizes family reunification. That change could have big implications for the DREAMers and their parents. Immigration hardliners worry that if the DREAMers are allowed to become citizens, their families could, too.

Es muy facil, ya que uno es ciudadano, cerrar la puerta a esos que aspiran ser ciudadanos tambien. Esa es la actitud de los republicanos y de su base. Sin embargo, si utilizas tu sentido comun, estas conciente de que cada vez hay mas gente NorteAmericana (baby-boomers) que se estan retirando. Y en el futuro, van a hacer falta mas trabajadores para pagar Medicare y el seguro social. 

Ademas, la poblacion de "Dreamers" son gente trabajadora, con estudios, muchos con sus propios negocios o con el deseo de comenzar negocios en un futuro. En otras palabras, son personas con derecho de convertirse en ciudadanos al igual que sus familia. 

En fin, espero que antes del cinco de Marzo (la fecha arbitraria que puso Trump), los legisladores, congresistas, y senadores sensatos, lleguen a un acuerdo sin hacer caso a los extremistas de la derecha (y a menor grado de la izquierda) y encuentren la manera de terminar con la incertidumbre con la que viven los "Dreamers" y sus familias.

Thursday, February 8, 2018

Dow Jones plunges another 1,000 points, falls below 24,000

The markets are now in "correction territory" (fall of 10%). & the reasons vary depending on where you get your information from: 
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/08/business/stock-market-activity.html

"Major stock indexes dropped sharply late Thursday afternoon, falling into a market correction, as volatility returned after a brief respite. The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index fell more than 3 percent and the Dow Jones industrial average dropped 3.5 percent, in a broad-based selloff as the end of trading approached.
A correction is fall of 10 percent from the market’s recent peak. A decline of 20 percent would mark the start of a bear market in stocks."

One of the causes, is the recent high-volatility in the markets & its effect on trading strategies:  
http://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-news-dow-jones-industrial-average-february-8-2018-2
"Stocks have failed to hold a strong rebound since Friday, when a better-than-expected report on wages increased worries about higher US inflation. The selling continued this week, worsened by technical factors including the implosion of trading strategies that had bet on low volatility."

Another cause, is the rise in the 10-year treasury yield:
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/07/us-stock-futures-dow-data-earnings-market-sell-off-and-politics-on-the-agenda.html

"Stocks closed lower on Wednesday after trading in a wide range again as interest rates climbed back toward multi-year highs.
The S&P 500 pulled back 0.5 percent to 2,681.66 after rising as much as 1.2 percent, logging its biggest one-day reversal since February 2016. TheDow Jones industrial average closed 19.42 points lower at 24,893.35, notching its biggest reversal since August 2015. The index rose as much as 381 points and fell as much as 127 points.
The indexes began losing steam in afternoon trade shortly after a rise in the 10-year Treasury yield, rekindling the worry that sparked this cascading market plunge last Friday."
As well as fear the Fed will eventually raise interest rates to "try to cool the economy":
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/07/upshot/the-stock-market-is-worried-about-inflation-should-it-be.html

"But if the overheating/Phillips Curve 
narrative is coming true, the Fed will have 
to raise interest rates to try to cool the
economy, which would make capital more 
costly for businesses and dampen consumer 
spending. 
That’s all bad news for stocks.
What happened Friday was that a wage number 
was published that was consistent with the 
overheating/Phillips Curve story of how the 
economy works, which is a big reason markets 
sold off."

In addition, the "emergency stimulus" from major central banks is coming to an end:
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/feb/08/dow-jones-sinks-again-as-bond-yields-rise-and-higher-inflation-feared

"The trigger for the latest sell-off was a jump in the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds – seen as a key indicator of inflationary pressure and the likelihood of higher interest rates.
Ten-year bond yields climbed to almost 2.9%, with markets speculating about whether they would hit 3% over the coming days.

Rising bond yields – coupled with a strong signal 
from the Bank of England that an interest rate increase was on the way – added to expectations that the world’s major central banks are now firmly on course to wind down the emergency stimulus they have pumped through the financial system since 2009, driving an almost decade-long stock market rally." 

Finally, the 4.15 percentage loss (still a 10% slide from its record high), wasn't as historically bad (as far as optics), as the 1,032 point loss which is "the second-worst fall in history, eclipsed only by Monday's 1,175 point plunge":
"The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 1,032 points (or 4.15%), meaning it is 10% down from the record high it reached two weeks ago.
 This also puts it in what is known on Wall Street as a "correction".
It is the second-worst fall in history, eclipsed only by Monday's 1,175-point plunge.
The broad-based S&P 500 dropped 100 points or 3.75%, and the tech-rich Nasdaq was down 3.9%."

Monday, February 5, 2018

Dow plunges 1,100 + points, almost back to 24,000

Same as last friday, today the Dow Jones Industrial average fell again. But this time, it happened in a more precipitous manner. Last week it fell below 26,000, today it was below 25,000. I was watching the Ali Velshi hour on MSNBC when the Dow Jones actually fell by 1600 points or 6%(!). I couldn't believe it. & panic sentiment by investors is the first thing that came to mind since the pundits didn't have a clear explanation. 

The explanations that are being given, vary from the modest pickup in wages:
https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2018/02/05/583325123/stocks-extend-losses-with-dow-dropping-more-than-300-points-at-the-open
"Market participants were focused on the threat of higher inflation after Friday's jobs report showed a pickup in wages, which portends more interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve."

To the selloff in the bond market:
http://money.cnn.com/2018/02/05/investing/stock-market-today-dow-jones/index.html
"Investors' main concern is the selloff in the bond market. The 10-year Treasury yield, which moves opposite price, spiked to a four-year high of 2.85% on Friday. It's a dramatic swing from 2.4% at the start of 2018. Higher yields could make normally boring bonds look more attractive when compared with risky stocks."

"Traders are flocking to the safety of US Treasurys amid the selloff in stocks, with the 10-year yield down 5 basis points at 2.80%. Bond yields tend to go down as demand, and therefore prices, go up. The benchmark yield hit 2.85% after Friday’s jobs report, its highest since January 2014."

Even the political tension in Washington:
https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2018/feb/05/stock-markets-slide-global-sell-off-service-sector-bitcoin-business-live


"Christopher Vecchio of Daily FX suspects that the political tensions in Washington are contributing to the declines."

Speaking of political tension, tonight some pundit even mentioned (though in a joking manner) that some people may even be labeling it as the "Nunes drop". One thing is for sure, volatility and market volume surged today. & since the market was overextended this correction was imminent, especially after the euphoria from the "Trump bump". However, now the next phase (or if this will be a fundamental shift in the markets) will be difficult to determine. Here's what CNBC is reporting about the stock futures:
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/05/sell-off-continues-after-hours--sp-500-futures-now-down-6-percent-on-the-day.html

"Stocks looked set for another rocky opening and a volatile trading day Tuesday.
Stock futures slid into negative territory in Monday evening trade: Dow futures were down 628 points, and S&P 500 futures were lower by 57.25 points as of 11:10 p.m. ET.
The implied open for the Dow, based on futures, was a decline of 1,005.75."

Sunday, February 4, 2018

Who will win the super bowl? Patriots vs Eagles

It's time for the Superbowl: Patriots vs Eagles.

Here's what the press was saying about the Patriots a few weeks ago, when New England was facing Jacksonville for the AFC Championship:
http://www.espn.com/blog/new-england-patriots/post/_/id/4810539/jaguars-built-in-a-way-that-could-hit-at-patriots-vulnerabilities

"FOXBOROUGH, Mass. -- The New England Patriots are heavily favored over the Jacksonville Jaguars in this Sunday’s AFC Championship Game, and understandably so. They are playing at home, have Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, and a defense that just set a franchise record for most sacks in a playoff game.
So what has to happen for the Jaguars to have a chance at the upset, and why should Patriots followers possibly believe that Jacksonville is equipped to potentially pull it off?"
Back then, a lot was made about Brady's supposed injury:

'Asked for his level of concern about Brady carrying out his responsibilities in Sunday's AFC Championship Game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, Belichick said, "I don't know. We'll see."'

Here's what the press was saying about the Eagles vs. Vikings game a few weeks ago before their matchup for the NFC championship:
http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/news/nfc-championship-vikings-eagles-matchup-preview-prediction-analysis/bpw61z8eiqzu1l8n2ffikd5dj
"The No. 1 seed Eagles (14-3) and No. 2 seed Vikings (14-3) have been working toward their matchup in Sunday's NFC championship game all season. Despite the attention they're getting for arriving with Nick Foles and Case Keenum as their quarterbacks, the teams have won big because of the basics."

I haven't had good luck predicting the winners of these last few playoff games. Furthermore, I was sure (& I wanted) the Vikings to win the NFC championship since the super-bowl is in Minnesota but...Whatever. Now we're here, Patriots yet again, this time versus the Eagles in the biggest sports event in the world. 
However, like most everyone else in America, now I'd like for the Eagles to win since they're the "under-dogs". 
Although, here's what Brady said recently about the term "under-dogs" in reference to the Eagles:
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/01/sports/super-bowl-prediction.html
'When asked about the dog masks that Philadelphia Eagles players and their fans have been wearing to celebrate the team’s underdog status throughout the N.F.L. playoffs, New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady, as he often does, swatted the question to the ground.
“They’re not underdogs,” he said. “They’re 13-3. You can’t be the underdog when you’re the No. 1 seed in the N.F.C. There’s no underdogs in this game.” '

The Eagles may not be "under-dogs" but unlike New England, Philadelphia has never won a Super Bowl:
http://www.bostonherald.com/sports/patriots/2018/02/guregian_patriots_vs_eagles_who_has_the_edge_in_super_bowl_lii

"BLOOMINGTON, Minn. — The Patriots will be trying to go back-to-back and match the Steelers with a record six Super Bowl titles on Sunday when they battle the Eagles in Super Bowl LII at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Interestingly, they’ll be squaring off with a team that’s one of 13 NFL franchises never to win a Super Bowl, as the Eagles are 0-2 in the big game with losses to the Raiders in Super Bowl XV and the Patriots in Super Bowl XXXIX."
Nevertheless, as much as I'd like Philadelphia to finally get a Super Bowl (& I was impressed with the Eagles in the last couple playoff games), I still believe New England will win today in a close game. Eagles 31, Patriots 34.

Friday, February 2, 2018

Dow sinks 660 + points, drops well below 26,000

The day started with good economic news. The government announced there had been a 2.9% increase in average hourly earnings over the past year: http://www.bbc.com/news/business-42921615
"US payrolls expanded by 200,000 last month, driven by hiring in construction, food services and health care, the US Labor Department said.
The average hourly wage for private sector workers crept up 2.9% compared to January 2017.
The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%. 
Economists have puzzled over lacklustre wage growth, which has lagged in prior months despite the decline in the unemployment rate."


According to the NYTimes article linked below, wage increases overall have been "Lagging as job growth continues", because of a collapse in union membership (among other reasons)
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/02/01/business/economy/wages-salaries-job-market.html
"A collapse in the rate of union membership for private-sector employees — to 6.5 percent last year from the upper teens in the early 1980s — appears to have played a key role in holding down wages. This is partly because unions benefit workers directly: Average pay for workers represented by unions tends to be higher than for those who aren’t, even after controlling for education and other characteristics."

Nevertheless, even this modest increase in wages, concerned the markets. This CNN article explains why:
http://money.cnn.com/2018/02/02/investing/stock-market-today-dow/index.html

"The other concern: Wage growth could be a sign that inflation, which has been mysteriously low for years, may heat up. That would force the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates faster than investors may be comfortable with.

Those concerns are showing up in the bond market. The 10-year Treasury yield reached a four-year high of 2.84% on Friday. It was at about 2.4% at the start of the year.
Some investors are worried they could climb high enough to slow the economy by raising borrowing costs. They also worry that higher returns on bonds will make stocks look less attractive by comparison."

Another factor affecting the markets was the fear of rising interest rates:
'"The key for the market today is rising interest rates," said Mike Baele, managing director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. "The old adage is: 'Bull markets don't die of old age, they are killed by higher interest rates.' That looms large."'


As well as Energy companies' earnings:




"Energy companies fell more than the rest of the market Friday after Exxon Mobil and Chevron reported disappointing results."
All these concerns culminated in the Dow Jones falling 665.75 to 25,520.96.
https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2018/02/02/582809604/dow-plummets-more-550-points

"The Dow closed at 25,520.96. With a loss about 1,000 points since Monday, it was the blue chip index's worst weekly performance in 2 years. Other major indexes fell about 2 percent Friday. The broader S&P 500 fell 60 points, to 2,762.13; the Nasdaq index lost 145 points, closing at 7,240.95."
 


The Dow Jones had dropped earlier this week but it bounced back, will it happen again? Or is this the beginning of a "bear market"?